China's new growth target is too low

中国的新增长目标定得太低

Editor's Picks from The Economist

2026-03-11

5 分钟
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A handpicked article read aloud from the latest issue of The Economist. China's government has set a growth target of 4.5-5% in 2026. We argue that the country should be more ambitious. Topics covered: - China’s growth target - National People’s Congress - China’s persistent deflation Listen to what matters most, from global politics and business to science and technology—subscribe to Economist Podcasts+. For more information about how to access Economist Podcasts+, please visit our FAQs page or watch our video explaining how to link your account.
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  • The Economist.

  • Hi, I'm Sarah Wu, co-host of Drum Tower, our podcast about China.

  • Welcome to Editor's Picks.

  • We've handpicked an article for you from the latest edition of The Economist.

  • We hope you enjoy listening.

  • Ever since turning communist, China has set top-down targets for its economy.

  • Mao Zedong wanted to double steal output in a year and crippled the country trying.

  • During his rule, China often fell woefully short of its goals.

  • After his death, it often comfortably surpassed them.

  • Lately, policymakers have tried to ensure it does neither.

  • Their growth targets serve both as a floor and a ceiling to their ambition.

  • They should aim higher.

  • The latest target was unveiled on March 5th,

  • during the National People's Congress, or NPC, China's rubber stamp parliament.

  • The government set a growth objective of 4.5-5% in 2026, lower and looser than last year.

  • This has elicited a variety of responses.

  • Some economists think the target is still too high.

  • China's workforce is shrinking, its property market is moribund, consumers are cautious,

  • and exports may not come to the rescue as they did last year.

  • Although the dangers of the trade war have receded,