Is a Post-American World Inevitable? A Conversation With Kurt Campbell, Rush Doshi, and Mark Leonard

特朗普2.0时代,盟友真要散伙了?

The Foreign Affairs Interview

2026-08-20

1 小时 18 分钟
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Ever since Donald Trump returned to the White House last year, a big question has loomed over any discussion of global politics: How much of the change he has brought to U.S. foreign policy, and to the international system, will endure beyond this presidential term? Two essays that open the new issue of Foreign Affairs offer different answers to that question. Kurt Campbell and Rush Doshi, two senior officials in the Biden administration, argue that the U.S. alliance system will not just survive Trump but can emerge stronger, even better suited to countering China and its partners. Mark Leonard, the director of the European Council on Foreign Relations, argues that policymakers in allied capitals and beyond must accept that the United States has fundamentally changed—and get ready to survive a more turbulent and contested world.  Dan Kurtz-Phelan wanted to bring Campbell, Doshi, and Leonard together in one conversation to lay out and test these contrasting arguments. They spoke on August 12 about possible futures for U.S. foreign policy—and what those paths mean for a global order built by a very different United States. You can find sources, transcripts, and more episodes of The Foreign Affairs Interview at https://www.foreignaffairs.com/podcasts/foreign-affairs-interview.
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  • I'm Dan Kurtz-Phelan, and this is the Foreign Affairs Interview.

  • I fear that having Trump elected twice does mean that

  • nobody is ever going to be able to think about alliances

  • in the same way that they did in the past.

  • There are very powerful gravitational forces that we see pulling allies together

  • even though some allies are trying very hard to de-risk from Washington.

  • We're going to see, I think beginning in the fall and winter,

  • a dramatic resurgence in discussion, debate, hope, and frankly optimism

  • about what comes next.

  • And there's going to be a lot of discussion about looking two years ahead.

  • I can't imagine anything worse for President Trump than to be overlooked

  • as people are anticipating the future.

  • But that is exactly what is going to happen.

  • Ever since Donald Trump returned to the White House last year,

  • a big question has loomed over any discussion of global politics.

  • How much of the change Trump has brought to US foreign policy

  • and to the international system will endure beyond this presidential term?

  • Two essays that open the new issue of Foreign Affairs

  • offer different answers to that question.

  • Kurt Campbell and Rush Doshi, two senior officials in the Biden administration,