Is America’s hegemony over the Middle East coming to an end? | The Economist Insider

美国的霸权在中东是否走向终结?| 经济学家内部人士

Insider

2026-09-25

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Even as President Donald Trump threatens another blast of “annihilation” in Iran, the signs of America’s looming retrenchment are unmistakable. Earlier this month it declined to join Saudi Arabia, its ally, in striking the Houthis in Yemen, instead making a deal with the insurgent militia behind the Saudis’ backs to spare American vessels from attack. There is a widespread expectation that America will cut its military presence; its bases are vulnerable to drones and missiles; its soldiers are set to leave Iraq quietly at the end of this month. Several countries, including Iran, Turkey and Israel, are poised to fill the void. The structural shift would mean that, for the first time in a century, the main source of security in the Middle East would be a local power. Edward Carr, our deputy editor, is joined by a panel of our top Middle East experts to consider what this means for the future of a volatile region.
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  • America seems to be stuck in the Middle East,

  • and yet this week, we're making a bold prediction:

  • that the war in Iran, however it ends,

  • will mark the moment when America pulls back,

  • finally relinquishing its hegemony over the region.

  • For the first time in a century,

  • an outside country would not be the overarching source of order

  • in the Middle East.

  • Will that trigger score-settling and violence or a new beginning?

  • I'm Edward Carr, The Economist's deputy editor,

  • and welcome back to The Insider.

  • And with me to discuss this,

  • I have Josie Delap, our Middle East editor,

  • Gregg Carlstrom, our Middle East correspondent,

  • welcome to both of you,

  • it's great to have you in the studio.

  • Nicolas Pelham, who takes a special interest in Iran,

  • and from Jerusalem, Anshel Pfeffer, our Israel correspondent.

  • It's great to have you with us.

  • I want to start today by looking at the evidence