Cuba is suffering.
Food, medicine, electricity and clean water are in short supply.
The United Nations has warned that a humanitarian crisis is imminent.
President Trump and his Cuban American Secretary of State Marco Rubio are determined to force change in Cuba.
But how?
Hello and welcome to Inside Geopolitics.
I'm David Reni, the Economist's Geopolitics Editor.
And with me in the studio is Dr. Christopher Sabatini, director of the Latin America program at Chatham House.
Christopher, thank you for joining us.
Thank you, David.
And joining us down the line from Mexico City,
my colleagues, Sarah Burke, are Central America and Caribbean Bureau Chief.
Sarah, thank you for making the time to join us.
Hi, David.
So over the next 40 minutes or so, I'd like us to talk about...
How desperate is the situation in Cuba right now and how weak is the regime?
And might Donald Trump use military force against the island?
And what would happen if he did?
Or if his aim is to cut a deal with the regime?
What might they accept?