The Department of War is making a huge mistake

国防部正犯下一个巨大的错误

Dwarkesh Podcast

2026-03-12

24 分钟
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Read the full essay here: https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/dow-anthropic Timestamps (00:00:00) - Anthropic vs The Pentagon (00:04:16) - The overhangs of tyranny (00:05:54) - AI structurally favors mass surveillance (00:08:25) - Alignment...to whom? (00:13:55) - Coordination not worth the costs Get full access to Dwarkesh Podcast at www.dwarkesh.com/subscribe
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  • So by now I'm sure that you've heard that the Department of War has declared Anthropic a supply chain risk

  • because Anthropic refused to remove red lines around the use of their models for mass surveillance and for autonomous weapons.

  • Honestly, I think this situation is a warning shot.

  • Right now, LLMs are probably not being used in mission-critical ways.

  • But within 20 years, 99% of the workforce in the military,

  • in the civilian government, in the private sector is going to be AIs.

  • They're going to be the robot armies that constitute our military.

  • They're going to be the superhumanly intelligent advisors that senators and presidents and CEOs have.

  • They're going to be the police.

  • You name it, the role will be filled by an AI.

  • Our future civilization is going to be run on AI labor.

  • And as much as the government's actions here piss me off,

  • I'm glad that this episode happened

  • because it gives us the opportunity to start thinking about some extremely important questions.

  • Now, obviously, the Department of War has the right to refuse to use anthropics models.

  • And in fact, I think they have an entirely reasonable case for doing so.

  • especially so given the ambiguity of terms like mass surveillance and autonomous weapons.

  • In fact, if I was the Secretary of War,

  • I probably would have made the same determination and refused to use anthropics models.

  • Imagine if there's some future democratic administration and Elon Musk is negotiating Starlink access to the military and Elon says,