OpenAI Whistleblower FINALLY Speaks: “AI Has A 70% Chance Of Going Horribly Wrong!“

开放AI泄密者终于发声:“AI有70%的概率会严重出错!”

The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett

2026-07-13

2 小时 0 分钟
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Ex-OpenAI researcher Daniel Kokotajlo walked away from $2 million rather than stay silent, and now reveals why he believes there's a 70% chance AI leads to human extinction, why superintelligence could arrive before the end of the decade, and the one plan he thinks could still save us all! Daniel Kokotajlo is a former OpenAI researcher and one of the world's leading AI forecasters. He is the founder of the AI Futures Project and the lead author of 'AI 2027', the widely-read scenario mapping the trajectory of artificial intelligence. His follow-up, 'AI 2040: Plan A', sets out how the world could still navigate superintelligence safely. He explains: ■ What he saw inside OpenAI that made him walk away ■ Why the people building AI privately believe it's coming even sooner than the public is being told ■ What happens if AI becomes powerful enough that humans can no longer control it, and why he puts the odds of catastrophe as high as 70% ■ Why almost every job could be automated, and what that means for the next generation ■ The plan he believes could still lead to abundance and a future worth living in Chapters 00:00:00 Intro 00:02:14 Why This AI Mission Could Affect Everyone 00:04:01 Why the Average Person Should Care About AI 00:08:09 Are AI Experts Overreacting or Sounding the Alarm? 00:09:46 Why He Joined OpenAI—and What He Saw Inside 00:13:04 Why He Left OpenAI 00:15:33 What It Was Like Inside OpenAI During ChatGPT's Launch 00:16:56 The $2 Million NDA Controversy Explained 00:19:10 Is Full AI Automation Coming Faster Than We Think? 00:23:59 The AI 2027 Forecast That Changed the Conversation 00:26:13 AGI vs. Superintelligence: The Difference That Matters 00:26:57 How Robots Could Soon Become Part of Everyday Life 00:30:03 Why AI Works More Like the Human Brain Than You Think 00:35:54 Can AI Ever Be Truly Creative? 00:40:55 What Are the Real Odds of Human Extinction From AI? 00:47:38 What AI Will Do to Jobs 00:54:25 The Skills That Will Still Matter in an AI World 01:00:01 AI 2040: What the Future Could Look Like 01:04:16 The Different Futures AI Could Create 01:09:13 Will AI Become Earth's Apex Species? 01:12:58 How AI CEOs Really Make Decisions 01:15:17 Will AI Decide the 2028 Election? 01:18:38 Is There a Safe Path to Accelerating AI? 01:21:51 By 2031, AI Could Do 20% of Cognitive Work 01:24:55 Should Everyone Receive AI Dividends? 01:32:21 What It Will Feel Like to Live Through the AI Revolution 01:33:51 How People Find Purpose After AI Replaces Jobs 01:45:52 Would He Shut Down AI Forever If He Could? 01:49:36 What Can We Actually Do About AI? 01:57:05 Is It Already Too Late to Change Course? Follow Daniel: X - https://link.thediaryofaceo.com/47vmwiA Substack - https://link.thediaryofaceo.com/5alnhzB  Daniel's AI predictions: https://ai-2027.com/ https://ai-2040.com/ AI risk reading list: https://blog.redwoodresearch.org/p/ai-futurism-reading-list The Diary Of A CEO: ■ Join DOAC circle here - https://doaccircle.com/ ■ Buy The Diary Of A CEO book here - https://smarturl.it/DOACbook ■ The 1% Diary is back - limited time only: https://bit.ly/3YFbJbt ■ The Diary Of A CEO Conversation Cards: https://linkly.link/2hm7r ■ Get email updates - https://bit.ly/diary-of-a-ceo-yt ■ Follow Steven - https://g2ul0.app.link/gnGqL4IsKKb Sponsors: Ketone - https://ketone.com/STEVEN for 30% off your subscription order Stan - Visit https://coach.stan.store/?ref=stevenbartlett&utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=episode11 HeyGen - https://heygen.com/doac
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