When will the Iran war hit food prices?

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• 00:02

  This is The Indicator from Planet Money.

• 00:13

  I'm Adrian Ma.

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  And I'm Darian Woods.

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  Gasoline and groceries.

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  Of all the things Americans spend money on, gas and groceries are among the most volatile price-wise.

• 00:24

  Yeah, more so than other goods, the price of gas and groceries tends to fluctuate a lot.

• 00:29

  We all know by now that gas prices have soared in the past couple of months.

• 00:33

  But here's something interesting.

• 00:35

  In that same period, the price of groceries has been relatively flat.

• 00:39

  And in fact, according to the latest Consumer Price Index report,

• 00:42

  the cost of groceries actually went down a little in March.

• 00:46

  Good news, I suppose.

• 00:47

  Or what passes for good news these days?

• 00:50

  Yeah, though, there is some bad news on the horizon.

• 00:54

  And that is, it may just be a matter of time before the worst effect on gas prices also hits the grocery store.

• 01:01

  And the question is, will that effect be a big one or a little one?

• 01:07

  Today on the show, a food economist takes a crack at forecasting just how much our grocery bills

• 01:12

  could increase in the coming months, and which items in our carts will take the biggest hit.

• 01:20

  This message comes from Dell.

• 01:21

  Dell PCs with Intel inside are built for the moments that matter.

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