The Iran War Expert: I Simulated The Iran War for 20 Years. Here’s What Happens Next

伊朗战争专家:我模拟了伊朗战争20年。接下来会发生什么

The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett

2026-03-12

1 小时 29 分钟
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White House war advisor ROBERT PAPE reveals why Trump is trapped in a war with Iran, the risk of a nuclear breakout, the role of China in the conflict, and how the US is losing control of the Middle East. Robert Pape is a renowned political scientist and director of the Chicago Project on Security and Threats. He has advised every White House since 9/11 on military strategy and is the author of Bombing to Win: Air Power and Coercion in War. He explains: ▪️The 3 stages of the escalation trap locking the US into war ▪️Why precision smart bombs trick leaders into strategic failure ▪️The hidden reality of Iran's 400kg enriched uranium stockpile ▪️How killing the Supreme Leader made the Iranian regime more resilient ▪️The pattern that connects Vietnam, Afghanistan, Iraq and Iran Enjoyed the episode? Share this link and earn points for every referral - redeem them for exclusive prizes: https://doac-perks.com Follow Robert: X - https://link.thediaryofaceo.com/CACnkUs LinkedIn - https://link.thediaryofaceo.com/EhIzCvZ Substack - https://link.thediaryofaceo.com/AtTbkWq The Diary Of A CEO: Join DOAC Circle - https://link.thediaryofaceo.com/EVyBm53  The Diary Of A CEO book - https://link.thediaryofaceo.com/67654nf  The 1% Diary - https://link.thediaryofaceo.com/2mrbk7t  Conversation Cards - https://link.thediaryofaceo.com/Ex8Yc9b  Get email updates - https://link.thediaryofaceo.com/7Az7mkJ  Follow DOAC on Instagram - https://link.thediaryofaceo.com/6KoLc6C  Sponsors: Stan - Visithttps://coach.stan.store?ref=SB&utm_source=podcast&utm_medium=youtube (https://coach.stan.store/?ref=SB&utm_source=podcast&utm_medium=youtube) Fiverr - https://fiverr.com/diary and get 10% off your first order when you use code DIARY Wispr - Get 14 days of Wispr Flow for free at https://wisprflow.ai/steven
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  • You've been running simulations on a war with Iran.

  • Yep, every strategy for 20 years.

  • And it's playing out right now.

  • So I can tell you that we are losing control of the situation.

  • Like, we don't know where that nuclear material is, but they have the material for 16 nuclear bombs.

  • And we've given them every incentive to develop them.

  • Professor Robert Pape might be the single most important,

  • credible person we all need to listen to right now.

  • The supreme leader that we took out was against nuclear weapons.

  • The new supreme leader, he's way more aggressive.

  • He's advised two decades of presidents in the White House.

  • President Trump is really stuck.

  • but he thrives in chaos.

  • And spent 30 years building the curriculum that trains the Air Force for the exact type of war that's taking place now in Iran.

  • And one of the most mind-blowing things I've learned is that there are three stages to this conflict.

  • Unfortunately, Professor Robert Pape, who has two decades of being correct with his predictions,

  • gives a 75% chance that Trump is about to escalate to stage three.

  • In this episode, we're going to explain exactly what this means.

  • Just give me 30 seconds of your time.

  • Two things I wanted to say.