Are Prediction Markets Gambling? A Lot Rides on the Answer.

预测市场是赌博吗?答案至关重要。

The Daily

2026-09-29

26 分钟
PDF

单集简介 ...

Prediction markets such as Kalshi and Polymarket have gained huge popularity over the past year. These marketplaces allow you to wager on just about anything — whether it’s who will win a football game or the weather in New York City. David Yaffe-Bellany, a technology reporter for The New York Times, discusses the legal challenge these platforms now face and how it could determine their future. Guest: David Yaffe-Bellany, a technology reporter for The New York Times. Background reading:  A clash between prediction markets and states has set off a furious political battle.Donald Trump Jr.’s firm led a $1 billion funding round for Polymarket.Photo: Eric Helgas for The New York Times For more information on today’s episode, visit nytimes.com/thedaily. Transcripts of each episode will be made available by the next workday. Subscribe today at nytimes.com/podcasts or on Apple Podcasts, Spotify and Amazon Music. You can also subscribe via your favorite podcast app here https://www.nytimes.com/activate-access/audio?source=podcatcher. For more podcasts and narrated articles, download The New York Times app at nytimes.com/app. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
更多

单集文稿 ...

  • If you like YouTube, you'll love YouTube Premium.

  • Hi, I'm Sean Evans from Hot Ones, and I want to tell you about YouTube Premium.

  • It has offline downloads, so you can watch without Wi-Fi.

  • Background play, so you can lock your phone, and it still plays, baby.

  • Oh, and it is completely ad-free.

  • Yes, I said it, ad-free.

  • Try YouTube Premium for two months free at youtube.com slash premium.

  • Trial eligibility varies, terms apply, cancel anytime.

  • From The New York Times, I'm Natalie Kittrow-F.

  • This is The Daily.

  • Over the last year, America has witnessed the explosion of prediction markets.

  • Platforms like CalSheep and Polymarket, which allow you to wager on just about anything.

  • From who will win a football game to the weather in New York City.

  • But now, those hugely popular platforms are in the middle of a legal battle

  • that could determine whether they get reined in or whether betting on everything becomes the norm everywhere.

  • Today, my colleague David Yaffe Bellany explains.

  • It's Tuesday, September 29th.

  • David, welcome back to the show.

  • It's wonderful to have you.

  • Thanks for having me.