The architects of the Vietnam War knew it was doomed

越战背后的真相

Economist

2026-05-11

7 分钟
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  • In his sprawling, captivating 1972 masterpiece, "The Best and the Brightest",

  • the journalist David Halberstam asked the central question about America's war in Vietnam:

  • "What was it about the men, their attitudes, the country, its institutions and above all the era

  • which had allowed this tragedy to take place?"

  • They were "the best and the brightest", after all.

  • Why did it happen?

  • Halberstam's answer, repeated by countless authors since, contained two parts: hubris and ignorance.

  • American planners, presiding over the greatest military and economic power in the history of the world,

  • believed that with the resources at their disposal, as well as their intellectual prowess and deep experience,

  • they could wage and win the conflict.

  • They were "swept forward" by faith in their own and their country's invincibility.

  • But they lacked a sense of history, as well as an understanding of their adversary

  • and the obstacles that stood in the way of victory.

  • Robert McNamara, who as secretary of defence was one of the architects of the war,

  • later offered substantial endorsement of Halberstam's thesis.

  • Writing in his 1995 memoir, "In Retrospect", he lamented that he and other leaders

  • were ignorant of Vietnamese history and of Ho Chi Minh's nationalist motivations.

  • They saw a monolithic communist threat where none existed, and in their arrogance

  • failed to fully examine the stakes of the struggle and whether success was truly achievable at a reasonable cost.

  • "If only we had known" became a kind of mantra for the latter-day McNamara.