The US-Iran war has not triggered a food crisis — yet. With Adam Hanieh and Susannah Savage

美伊战争尚未引发粮食危机——至少目前还没有。与亚当·汉尼赫和苏珊娜·萨维奇共同探讨。

The Economics Show

2026-07-17

27 分钟
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单集简介 ...

When the US and Israel started bombing Iran earlier this year, market watchers eyed the oil markets nervously. But as the price of crude oil climbed, so did the price of another key commodity produced in the Gulf: fertiliser. Five months later, the world’s food system is looking better than feared, but as Adam Hanieh, director of the Middle East Institute at the School of Oriental and African Studies in London explains, the worst may yet be to come. Soumaya also assesses his prognosis with the FT’s agriculture correspondent Susannah Savage. Subscribe to Soumaya's show on Apple, Spotify, Pocket Casts or wherever you listen. Presented by Soumaya Keynes. Produced by Mischa Frankl-Duval. Manuela Saragosa is the executive producer. Original music and sound design by Breen Turner. Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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单集文稿 ...

  • After months of turmoil, peace in the Strait of Hormuz seems as distant as ever.

  • When the Strait first closed, the FT's pages were full of warnings.

  • Warnings that since the Persian Gulf is such a major hub for the world's

  • energy and food supply chains, the disruption would create a crisis.

  • Were the Gulf-made chemicals to stop flowing, harvests could suffer.

  • And worse harvests could mean hunger or famine for millions.

  • So far, though, it doesn't look like the worst has happened.

  • This week, I'm asking, how did the Gulf become so important for global food production?

  • And have we really managed to escape catastrophe?

  • This is The Economics Show with Samaya Keynes.

  • A little later, I'll be speaking to my colleague Susanna Savage, who covers agriculture for the FT.

  • But first, I'm joined by Adam Hanyi, director of the Middle East Institute at SOAS in London.

  • Back in April, Adam wrote a big FT magazine piece called The Coming Food Crisis.

  • And I should say that we are recording this on Friday, July 10th at 12pm British summertime.

  • Adam, welcome.

  • Thank you very much tonight.

  • Okay, on a scale of 1 to 10, deeply serious question.

  • How worried were you about a global food catastrophe?

  • So one is totally relaxed.

  • Ten is the apocalypse is definitely coming.