The Growth of the Space Industry

航天产业的蓬勃发展

Goldman Sachs Exchanges

2026-07-15

16 分钟
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Falling launch costs, innovations, and AI are fuelling a space economy that could reach $1 trillion by the 2040s, according to Michael Tarulli and Erik Sparks in Goldman Sachs Investment Banking. The key driver: launch costs have plunged sharply, opening up access to space and enabling new frontiers of commercial activity. The shift is creating new potential opportunities as well as risks for investors. To learn more about the impact of AI on space, satellites, and other industrial sectors, read Harnessing AI For the Real Economy.  Recorded on July 7, 2026. The opinions and views expressed herein are as of the date of publication, subject to change without notice, and may not necessarily reflect the institutional views of Goldman Sachs or its affiliates. The material provided is intended for informational purposes only, and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation from any Goldman Sachs entity to take any particular action, or an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any securities or financial products. This material may contain forward-looking statements. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Goldman Sachs nor any of its affiliates make any representations or warranties, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the statements or information contained herein and disclaim any liability whatsoever for reliance on such information for any purpose. Each name of a third-party organization mentioned is the property of the company to which it relates, is used here strictly for informational and identification purposes only and is not used to imply any ownership or license rights between any such company and Goldman Sachs. A transcript is provided for convenience and may differ from the original video or audio content. Goldman Sachs is not responsible for any errors in the transcript. This material should not be copied, distributed, published, or reproduced in whole or in part or disclosed by any recipient to any other person without the express written consent of Goldman Sachs. Disclosures applicable to research with respect to issuers, if any, mentioned herein are available through your Goldman Sachs representative or at ⁠http://www.gs.com/research/hedge.html⁠ Goldman Sachs does not endorse any candidate or any political party. Copyright 2026. All rights reserved. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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  • The space industry sits at the center of technological innovation, economic growth and national security.

  • But as activity in orbit continues to expand, so do the opportunities and the challenges facing the sector.

  • So are we still in the early innings of a new space age or are expectations running ahead of reality?

  • I'm Alison Nathan and this is Goldman Sachs Exchanges.

  • Joining me today to help unpack all this are Eric Sparks

  • and Michael Tarulli from Goldman Sachs' Global Banking and Markets Group.

  • Eric is our head of global resilience, leading our coverage of space technology, satellite communications,

  • and national security infrastructure.

  • And Michael is our global head of aerospace and defense, bringing deep corporate expertise

  • and relationships with the world's largest companies in the sector.

  • Michael, Eric, welcome to the program.

  • Thank you for having us.

  • Thank you.

  • Michael, let's just start first with the big picture here.

  • Obviously seeing tremendous growth in the global space economy right now.

  • So talk to us about what's really driving that interest and that momentum.

  • The single most important factor is the cost to launch a kilogram into space.

  • So that cost during the height of the space shuttle era was about $55,000 per kilogram.

  • That's down to $3,000 per kilogram today.

  • So it's really democratized space.