How Polymarket Made Fake Bets Go Viral

如何Polymarket让虚假投注变得病毒式传播

The Journal.

2026-07-07

22 分钟
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单集简介 ...

Hundreds of social media videos showed people hitting it big on Polymarket. But it turns out, none of it was real. WSJ’s Caitlin Ostroff and Katherine Long report on their investigation into a fake viral marketing campaign. Ryan Knutson hosts. Further Listening: - Insiders Are Cashing In on Prediction Markets - How Betting on U.S. Politics Is Getting Big Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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  • What?

  • Will Trump say Barack Hussein Obama this week?

  • 25%.

  • Bro, he has to.

  • There are these videos you might have seen on TikTok or Instagram.

  • They all follow the same kind of pattern.

  • There's often someone who looks like a college student on their computer looking at the betting site Polymarket.

  • They have tens of thousands of dollars, maybe hundreds of thousands of dollars in their Polymarket account.

  • They place a bet.

  • The bets often seem trivial.

  • Like, will Donald Trump say a certain word by a certain day?

  • And the people in the videos make it seem like you're being let in on a secret.

  • They press the buy button.

  • Confetti explodes across their screen.

  • Then the camera cuts to them in front of a television.

  • They're watching Donald Trump give a speech.

  • He'll take other things, but not a free hat.

  • There it is.

  • It happened.

  • Trump said hat.