Will the energy shock change global trade imbalances? With Brad Setser

The Economics Show

2026-04-17

33 分钟
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China runs an enormous trade surplus, much to the chagrin of some of its trading partners: cheap exports of cars, chemicals and other goods are hampering major economies, especially in Europe. But the Asian nation, the world’s largest exporter, is a net importer of oil. Could higher oil prices help redress global trade imbalances? Soumaya Keynes speaks to Brad Setser, senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, to discuss how global trade imbalances have changed, why Beijing’s surplus may be bigger than it looks, and what European leaders should be doing about it. Subscribe to Soumaya's show on Apple, Spotify, Pocket Casts or wherever you listen. Related reading What's really shocking about the second China shock? China shock 2.0: should Europe welcome Chinese investment? Presented by Soumaya Keynes. Produced by Mischa Frankl-Duval and Sonja Hutson. Edwin Lane is the senior producer. Original music and sound design by Breen Turner. The FT's head of audio is Cheryl Brumley. Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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  • It is IMF Spring Meetings Week, which means that the world's economic policymakers descend on Washington, D.C.

  • To talk about what on earth is going on in the global economy.

  • Finance ministers, chief economists, and of course journalists like myself,

  • have gathered to discuss shocks, imbalances, and the economic outlook.

  • And there is a lot to discuss, from the huge global energy shock to slower-moving pressures,

  • and of course, the tensions between the world's biggest beasts.

  • This week, I'm going to ask, how will the energy shock affect global trade imbalances?

  • This is The Economics Show.

  • I'm joined this week in Washington, D.C.

  • By Brad Setzer, the Whitney Shepardson Senior Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations.

  • In my book, How to Win a Trade War, I described him as a sort of economic Sherlock Holmes,

  • detecting problems in the macroeconomic data.

  • And I thought this week would be a great time to catch up with him and discuss global trade imbalances.

  • Brad, hello.

  • Hello.

  • Thanks for having me on.

  • It's been a long time ago.

  • Well, it's great to have you on.

  • Okay, first of all, I want to set the scene, right?

  • So let's talk global imbalances.