What does Iran want?

伊朗想要什么?| 《经济学人》内幕

Insider

2026-08-04

43 分钟
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America and Iran appear to be sliding back towards war. The two sides are stuck in a cycle of fighting: threats are issued, then rescinded; strikes are halted, then resumed. Diplomats—still hoping to close this doom loop—tout compromises, but their chances of brokering peace look slim. What does Iran want from this war? And how does it want it to end? David Rennie, The Economist’s geopolitics editor, and a pair of renowned Iran watchers examine the thinking inside Tehran. They ask if the country’s leadership is more hardline than ever, discuss the incentives that could yet bring it to the table and consider whether—for a regime rooted in resistance—it is peace, not war, which is most dangerous of all.
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  • Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu suggested they could topple the Iranian regime.

  • Instead, it has survived and it may even be stronger than before.

  • Despite Mr. Trump's insistence that negotiations are starting soon, a ceasefire looks as fragile as ever.

  • If anything, the war has expanded with strikes on a growing list of countries.

  • What does the Iranian regime want?

  • And what might it do next?

  • I'm David Rennie, The Economist's geopolitics editor.

  • Welcome to Inside Geopolitics.

  • I am delighted to have two renowned Iran watchers here with me in the studio,

  • Dr. Sanam Vakil, director of the Middle East and North Africa program at the Think Tank Chatham House,

  • and Sir Simon Gass, former British ambassador to Iran,

  • a negotiator on the Iran nuclear deal and now with SC strategies.

  • So, I'm really glad you're here because I want this program to be about Iran.

  • How does it see the world?

  • How does it see its own incentives?

  • What are its red lines and bottom lines?

  • How do they see the future after this war?

  • How much pain are they willing to take in this kind of staring contest with Donald Trump

  • and how much pain are they willing to inflict on their own people?

  • So, let's start, I guess, with who is in charge of the country, the Iranian regime,