2026-07-29
12 分钟This is The Guardian.
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In terms of an early election, if Labour was to go for it now,
even if their poll lead grew a bit, you'd be leading your troops over the top of the trenches into the gunfire
and knowing a lot of them wouldn't make it.
I wouldn't get carried away by any poll.
Reform UK do have problems at the moment, but they're still leading in a lot of polls.
And even when they're not leading, they're behind by, you know, one or two points.
You potentially have then Reform UK with 200 seats being the opposition.
It'd be a very, very different picture and potentially a much more difficult picture.
From the Guardians today in Focus, this is the latest with me, Lucy Hawth.
Multiple polls have now put Labour ahead of reform for the first time in more than a year.
Peter Walker, you're our senior political correspondent.