Locusts and Pirates: What’s Your Favorite Recession? with Tyler Goodspeed | Hoover Institution

蝗虫与海盗:您更偏爱哪次经济衰退?——与泰勒·古德史密斯对话 | 胡佛研究所

GoodFellows: Conversations on Economics, History & Geopolitics

2026-03-26

1 小时 7 分钟
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If unexpected wars and oil shocks have been big features of recent history, so too are economic recessions – another downturn perhaps ahead in 2026. Tyler Goodspeed, a former Hoover Institution fellow and author of the forthcoming book, Recession: The Real Reasons Economies Shrink and What To Do About It, joins GoodFellows regulars Sir Niall Ferguson, John Cochrane, and Lt. Gen. H.R. McMaster for a tutorial on economic conditions and lessons past and present. After that: The three fellows discuss the latest in the Iran conflict including the feasibility of a peace agreement by week’s end as demanded by President Trump, the odds of land forces entering the equation in the near future, plus possible economic hardship ahead should the fighting linger. Finally, in the “lightning round”: why the late Stanford biologist Paul Erlich was so amiss in predicting a doomed planet (not unlike climate alarmists) and H.R.’s favorite Chuck Norris jokes in honor of the recent passing of the famed Hollywood tough guy.      Subscribe to GoodFellows for clarity on today’s biggest social, economic, and geostrategic shifts — only on GoodFellows.
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  • Will Iran still be able to control the flow of oil?

  • Be jointly controlled.

  • By who?

  • Maybe me.

  • Maybe me.

  • Me and the Ayatollah, whoever the Ayatollah is, whoever the next Ayatollah is.

  • It 's Tuesday, March 24th, 2026, and welcome back to Goodfellas,

  • a Hoover Institution broadcast examining history, economics, and geopolitics.

  • I'm Bill Whelan.

  • I'm a Hoover Distinguished Policy Fellow, and I'll be your moderator today.

  • And before we start the show, we have a special announcement for all Goodfellas fans,

  • friends, and followers, our GFFs here in Northern California.

  • As part of Hoover's speaker series, Dialogues on Freedom, celebrating the 250th anniversary of our country,

  • Goodfellas will be doing a live show at the Hoover Institution on the campus of Stanford University,

  • on Wednesday, April 22nd at 4.30 p.m.

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