All in: America bets on prediction markets

美国进入全民下注时代

Checks and Balance from The Economist

2026-02-06

48 分钟
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Americans will bet upwards of an estimated $2 billion on the Super Bowl. It’s the biggest betting day of the year, but since the Supreme Court authorised sports betting in 2018, Americans have taken to gambling year round. And now, on prediction markets, they’re wagering on politics too. Charlotte Howard hosts with James Bennet and Dan Rosenheck. Transcripts of our podcasts are available via economist.com/podcasts Listen to what matters most, from global politics and business to science and technology—subscribe to Economist Podcasts+ For more information about how to access Economist Podcasts+, please visit our FAQs page or watch our video explaining how to link your account.
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  • The Economist.

  • If you put a hundred bucks down right now, you could turn it into more than 560.

  • If Bad Bunny wears a dress at the Super Bowl.

  • Americans are expected to bet nearly two billion dollars on the game this year.

  • Some will play it straight, wagering on either the Seahawks or the Patriots and how big the win may be.

  • But there will also be novel bets, like what the announcers may say,

  • when the first timeout is called,

  • the color of the Gatorade that's likely to get dumped on the winning coach,

  • and whether Bad Bunny wears a dress.

  • Many of those bets will be made on prediction markets.

  • All of this is legal.

  • It has the blessing of the NFL, and it would not be this way without the US Supreme Court.

  • I'm Charlotte Howard and this is Checks and Balance from The Economist.

  • Each week we take one big theme shaping American politics and explore it in depth.

  • Today, sports betting, prediction markets, and the impact on America.

  • In 2018, the Supreme Court cleared the way for states to authorize sports betting

  • and unleashed an era of mass gambling.

  • From the leagues to sports media to our phones, betting is everywhere.

  • But it is not confined to sports.

  • On prediction markets, individuals have bet on everything from the outcome of an election