Tyler Muir on How to Understand the Fed's Quantitative Easing

泰勒·穆尔谈如何理解美联储的量化宽松政策

Macro Musings with David Beckworth

2026-01-26

55 分钟
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Tyler Muir is a professor of finance at UCLA. In Tyler's first appearance on the show, he discusses how he became a leading scholar on quantitative easing, what things the Fed can learn in responding to crises, why QE matters, how QE transformed the bond market, the new "Tyler Rule", QE's role in the COVID Pandemic, and much more. Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links. Recorded on January 8th, 2025 Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth Follow Tyler Muir on X: @TylerMuir Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings Check out our Macro Musings merch! Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel  Timestamps 00:00:00 - Intro 00:01:33 - Tyler's Background 00:08:36 - Financial Crisis and Risk Premium 00:14:40 - Intermediaries and Asset Prices 00:22:18 - QE and Why It Matters 00:28:40 - QE and the Bond Market 00:32:38 - The Tyler Rule 00:37:51 - When Selling Goes Viral 00:41:01 - QE During COVID 00:49:26 - Shrinking the Fed's Balance Sheet 00:55:03 - Outro
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  • Welcome to Macro Musings,

  • where each week we pull back the curtain and take a closer look at the most important macroeconomic issues of the past,

  • present, and future.

  • I am your host, David Beckworth,

  • a senior research fellow with the Mercatus Center at George Mason University,

  • and I'm glad you decided to join us.

  • Our guest today is Tyler Muir.

  • Tyler is a professor of finance at UCLA and is a leading scholar on the Fed's large-skill asset purchase programs,

  • better known as Quantitative Easing RQE.

  • He joins us today to discuss what we now know about QE.

  • Tyler, thanks for joining the program.

  • Thanks so much.

  • I'm really happy to be here.

  • Well, it's great to have you on.

  • Now, you truly are a leading scholar of QE.

  • In fact,

  • I had the Privilege of listening to present a paper this past year at the Atlanta feds financial markets conference and I was really blown away by some of the counterfactual paths that you drew for yields relative to where they would have been had there not been QE over the past decade or so so I was excited to get you on and also listeners will get to later in the show the possibility of something called.

  • a Tyler Rule, which is similar to a Taylor Rule, but for the balance sheet.

  • If you've ever wondered, why isn't there a Taylor Rule for the Fed's balance sheet?

  • Well, this is your lucky day because we'll talk about something along those lines.