Geopolitics is warping multinationals’ commercial decisions

地缘政治掏空跨国公司

Economist

2026-01-16

22 分钟
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  • To hear Donald Trump tell the tale,

  • America's intervention in Venezuela will be a huge boon for American oil firms.

  • They will win lucrative investment opportunities and spend lavishly on them.

  • The oil will flow and the profits will gush.

  • Yet the oil firms themselves—and the investors who own them—are not persuaded.

  • After attending a meeting on Venezuela at the White House,

  • ExxonMobil's CEO dismissed the country as "uninvestable".

  • Since an irritated Mr Trump responded by threatening to exclude Exxon from Venezuela,

  • its share price has actually risen.

  • For the markets, it seems, any sort of respite

  • from political meddling in a company's commercial decisions,

  • even if motivated by pique, is a distinct plus.

  • Alas, such moments are not as frequent as they used to be.

  • For several years now, commentators (including The Economist)

  • have warned that politicians' efforts to influence

  • where companies make and sell their wares

  • will undermine the benefits of globalisation

  • and so make multinationals less efficient and less profitable.

  • Sadly, lots of data already suggest that big,

  • global firms are indeed reshaping their operations