E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!

E11:特别节目《选举之夜》——菲尔·赫尔穆特、比尔·古雷利、布拉德·格斯特纳等嘉宾亮相!

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

2020-11-04

2 小时 59 分钟
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单集简介 ...

Follow the crew: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Follow the bestie guesties: https://twitter.com/bgurley https://twitter.com/phil_hellmuth https://twitter.com/altcap https://twitter.com/jcpolls Show Notes: 0:00 The besties & Phil Hellmuth on Trump's early lead, live betting odds, the Latinx reversal 10:09 Sacks intros political expert Michael Newman on vote tally timing discrepancies, why some states skew a certain way early & more 20:33 Assessing the 180 in the gambling markets & equity markets towards a pro-Trump outcome 24:18 SurveyMonkey Chief Research Officer Jon Cohen joins the show to talk about polling updates from 2016 to 2020, understanding the race so far, electoral college & more 41:51 Biden losing Florida, tax policy, cultural repudiation of the elites in 2020 50:43 Chamath on the stupidity of the establishment, socialism, Democratic ideology for 2024 if Biden loses 55:40 Mid-show predictions, Jason goes off on Trump 1:07:58 What will happen in the time until we have a clear winner, Trump as a middle finger 1:17:55 Brad Gerstner joins the show to talk about stock futures, what the Democrats keep getting wrong - coastal elites losing touch with normal people, rebuking lockdowns 1:38:24 Reviewing the race swing state by swing state 1:47:28 Bill Gurley joins the show to talk about divisiveness, urban/rural rapture & more 1:55:53 Pete Buttigieg as the future of the Democratic Party, Chamath calls out the democratic leaders 2:00:43 Reconciling middle America & the coastal elites, respecting each other's differences, understanding Prop 22 2:11:34 Diagnosing states that flipped from Biden to Trump, anti-business California state propositions failing, union impact on legislation 2:23:01 Senate races, market talk, which Democratic candidate had the best chance of beating Trump, voting for character over policy 2:34:32 Jason & Sacks debate Russian election interference legitimacy 2:41:34 Sacks unveils his Trump Derangement Score tracker, updated outcome scenarios & more 2:51:51 Trump declaring victory could tank markets, live reaction to Joe Biden's election night address
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  • Hello everybody welcome, uh,

  • we are live at the all-in headquarters And the all-in podcast is now live.

  • We have 63 people watching already And bear with us while we get the besties on the line.

  • I'll be doing my introductions in just a moment after I tweet this But it is an eventful night and we had to start early

  • because It's looking like this could be another shocker and I am not Being facetious here.

  • I am not happy about this obviously but Trump looks like he's been underestimated again.

  • This is not a blowout We are going live early This could be a shocker folks Okay.

  • So with me early on the pod is regular David Friedberg.

  • David, you're watching this early action and what's your early reaction to what we're seeing?

  • You know, Trump's moved.

  • There's nothing definitive yet, but he's moved in the results and he's moving markets.

  • We're seeing forex markets show a sharp indication that Trump has a real shot at winning here.

  • Treasury markets.

  • And as Phil Helmuth will share with us, betting markets as well.

  • So it is more of a nail biter than Game 7 of the Warriors' cabs.

  • So here we go.

  • There's a hell of a nail biter, guys, and I'm just going to say this.

  • The UK markets had it first.

  • They sw- he was five to two, uh,

  • you could- you could get Trump at five to two, two and a half to one.