#AIS: FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver on how gamblers think

#AIS:五三八的Nate Silver谈赌徒的思维方式

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

2022-05-30

40 分钟
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This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Nate Silver gives a presentation on how gamblers think 19:25 Bestie Q&A with Nate Silver: building probabilistic models, getting blamed for Trump winning in 2016, polarization reality, 2022 midterms Follow Nate: https://twitter.com/NateSilver538 Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
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  • We're really excited to have our next speaker here.

  • Nate Silver is the editor-in-chief of 538.

  • And he came to our poker game recently.

  • Oh, Nate came to our game.

  • Come on out, Nate.

  • Ran the game over.

  • See you, brother.

  • Good morning.

  • Who was the big loser that night?

  • I think, Wade, who was the big loser?

  • Because Nate was the big winner, right?

  • Well, he was the big winner.

  • I was basically trying...

  • I think Jason's there to kind of break him.

  • I think I donated a little bit to Nate Silver's new Model S plaid.

  • Model Y, Model S plaid.

  • I think he got the Model S plaid coming to the game.

  • This was the largest poker win you've had in your life.

  • Largest cash game win, yeah.

  • By a factor of five.