How Hitler almost starved Britain – Sarah Paine

希特勒几乎让英国饿肚子——萨拉·佩恩

Dwarkesh Podcast

2025-09-05

1 小时 35 分钟
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In this lecture, military historian Sarah Paine explains how Britain used sea control, peripheral campaigns, and alliances to defeat Nazi Germany during WWII. She then applies this framework to today, arguing that Russia and China are similarly constrained by their geography, making them vulnerable in any conflict with maritime powers (like the U.S. and its allies). Watch on YouTube; listen on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. Sponsors * Labelbox partners with researchers to scope, generate, and deliver the exact data frontier models need, no matter the domain. Whether that’s multi-turn audio, SOTA robotics data, advanced STEM problem sets, or even novel RL environments, Labelbox delivers high-quality data, fast. Learn more at labelbox.com/dwarkesh * Warp is the best interface I’ve found for coding with agents. It makes building custom tools easy: Warp’s UI helps you understand agent behavior and its in-line text editor is great for making tweaks. You can try Warp for free, or, for a limited time, use code DWARKESH to get Warp’s Pro Plan for only $5. Go to warp.dev/dwarkesh To sponsor a future episode, visit dwarkesh.com/advertise. Timestamps 00:00:00 – How WW1 shaped WW2 00:15:10 – Hitler and Churchill’s battle to command the Atlantic 00:30:10 – Peripheral theaters leading up to Normandy 00:37:13 – The Eastern front 00:48:04 – Russia’s & China’s geographic prisons 01:00:28 – Hitler’s blunders & America’s industrial might 01:15:03 – Bismarck’s limited wars vs Hitler’s total war Get full access to Dwarkesh Podcast at www.dwarkesh.com/subscribe
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  • It turns out that the possibilities for maritime and continental powers are a little different.

  • Basically, a small subset of countries can defend themselves primarily at sea,

  • and that opens certain possibilities, and others can't,

  • and that opens and closes certain possibilities.

  • I'm going to talk at this story from Britain's point of view.

  • The country with the 360, you can't get me moat.

  • And it's an instructive case for the United States of the possibilities and the perils of having this sort of position.

  • So that is my game plan today.

  • And you can look at the great peninsula of Europe where Britain is located.

  • And you can see this northern coastline for Britain,

  • where it's uncomfortably close to the continent and its enemies are sitting there.

  • It's an interesting neighborhood.

  • So here's my plan.

  • I'm going to talk about these continental problems that Britain has been dealing with.

  • If you think about it, Britain was always fighting France.

  • And then in 1871, Germany reunifies and then the problems Germany.

  • And I'm going to pick up the story.

  • in 1939 when things are really bad for Britain.

  • So I'm gonna talk about first these continental problems.

  • And then I'm gonna talk about how Britain tried to deal with it.