Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research

伊利亚·苏茨基韦尔——我们正从规模化的时代迈向研究时代

Dwarkesh Podcast

2025-11-26

1 小时 36 分钟
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Ilya & I discuss SSI’s strategy, the problems with pre-training, how to improve the generalization of AI models, and how to ensure AGI goes well. Watch on YouTube; read the transcript. Sponsors * Gemini 3 is the first model I’ve used that can find connections I haven’t anticipated. I recently wrote a blog post on RL’s information efficiency, and Gemini 3 helped me think it all through. It also generated the relevant charts and ran toy ML experiments for me with zero bugs. Try Gemini 3 today at gemini.google * Labelbox helped me create a tool to transcribe our episodes! I’ve struggled with transcription in the past because I don’t just want verbatim transcripts, I want transcripts reworded to read like essays. Labelbox helped me generate the exact data I needed for this. If you want to learn how Labelbox can help you (or if you want to try out the transcriber tool yourself), go to labelbox.com/dwarkesh * Sardine is an AI risk management platform that brings together thousands of device, behavior, and identity signals to help you assess a user’s risk of fraud & abuse. Sardine also offers a suite of agents to automate investigations so that as fraudsters use AI to scale their attacks, you can use AI to scale your defenses. Learn more at sardine.ai/dwarkesh To sponsor a future episode, visit dwarkesh.com/advertise. Timestamps (00:00:00) – Explaining model jaggedness (00:09:39) - Emotions and value functions (00:18:49) – What are we scaling? (00:25:13) – Why humans generalize better than models (00:35:45) – SSI’s plan to straight-shot superintelligence (00:46:47) – SSI’s model will learn from deployment (00:55:07) – How to think about powerful AGIs (01:18:13) – “We are squarely an age of research company” (01:20:23) – Self-play and multi-agent (01:32:42) – Research taste Get full access to Dwarkesh Podcast at www.dwarkesh.com/subscribe
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  • You know, it's crazy that all of this is real.

  • Yeah.

  • Don't you think so?

  • Like all this AI stuff and all this Bay Area.

  • Yeah, that it's happened.

  • Like, isn't it straight out of science fiction?

  • Yeah.

  • Another thing that's crazy is like how normal the slow takeoff feels.

  • The idea that we'd be investing 1% of GDP in AI,

  • like I feel like it would have felt like a bigger deal.

  • You know, where right now it just feels like we get used to things pretty fast turns out.

  • Yeah.

  • But also it's kind of like it's abstract like what does it mean?

  • What it means that you see it in the news.

  • Yeah, that such-and-such company announced such-and-such dollar amount, right?

  • That's that's all you see, right?

  • It's not really felt in any other way so far.

  • Yeah, should we actually begin here?

  • I think this is an interesting discussion.

  • Sure.