2026-01-13
24 分钟Bloomberg Audio Studios.
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I look at the Bloomberg terminal and the top story all morning long has been about shares of Capital One,
Amex, Tumbling, along with some other banks that issue credit cards,
following President Trump's announcement that he is calling on these companies to cap interest rates at 10% a year,
which could threaten their profits, billions in profits for the industry.
Let's bring in now Nathan Dean.
Nathan is our senior policy analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence.
And Nathan, one thing that we need to make clear,
President Trump calling for this is not the same as him actually having authority to do this.
Is this something in which he has the authority to call for a cap on interest rates for credit card companies?
No,
it's not and that should be the first question that these investors look at is how would President Trump implement this
because look he said that effective January 20th that there would be a one-year cap at 10% but really there's no way that he can implement this.
There has been legislation from Senators Bernie Sanders the independent and obviously Josh Hawley the Republican to actually put in a cap for five years but that legislation really hasn't gone anywhere.
Now the industry averages around 21% going down to 10% obviously you're gonna see a significant decline and what the interest would be to these banks,
and obviously that we're starting to see what the potential of that would be in the stock market.
But our note that we put out to clients this morning is said,
look, we only see a 30% chance of this happening in 2026.
The more likely scenario is that President Trump uses the regulators.