The US ran a war game on the aftermath of Maduro’s fall – it predicted chaos

美国就马杜罗下台后的局势进行了一场模拟战——预测将会陷入混乱。

The Global Story

2026-01-07

27 分钟
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单集简介 ...

When the US government captured Venezuela’s president, Nicolas Maduro, on Saturday, most of the world was shocked. But US officials had for years been gaming out different scenarios, including predicting what would happen if Maduro was ousted. According to one man who took part, each ended in disaster. On today’s episode, we speak to the former Washington Post journalist Douglas Farah, who participated in war games on Venezuela during Donald Trump’s first term, as well as during the Obama and Biden administrations. Producers: Hannah Moore and Lucy Pawle Executive producer: James Shield Mix: Travis Evans Senior news editor: China Collins Photo: A protest against US strikes on Venezuela and the capture of President Maduro, in Brazil. Tuane Fernandes/Reuters
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  • When the US government captured Venezuela's President, Nicolas Maduro,

  • over the weekend, much of the world was shocked.

  • But behind closed doors, US officials had been gaming out what would happen if Maduro was ousted.

  • Even during President Trump's first term,

  • the government ran simulations almost like immersive theater,

  • with teams playing the US and its adversaries, each of them trying to win the game.

  • And we're told by one man who was in one of those rooms that every scenario had the same result.

  • Disaster.

  • From the BBC, I'm Asma Khalid in Washington D.C.

  • And today on The Global Story, why did the U.S.

  • capture Maduro if it had already foreseen the risk of chaos?

  • Douglas Farrah is a former journalist who covered Latin America for years for the Washington Post.

  • Since then, he's used his expertise in the region to advise the U.S.

  • government.

  • He's worked with the U.S.

  • government across the Obama, Biden, and first Trump administrations.

  • And he's participated in several so-called war games exercises.

  • So I started off by asking him to explain what these games are and why governments use them.

  • It's where you sit down and you look at, okay,

  • this is the situation in the case of Venezuela, okay, this is what we have now.