Predicting 2026: Will Ukraine finally get a peace deal?

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• 00:01

  Good morning from the Financial Times.

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  Today is Tuesday, December 30th.

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  I'm Sonia Hudson, and this is your FT News Briefing.

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  The U.S.

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  has offered Ukraine a 15-year security guarantee as part of a peace deal.

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  But Kyiv wants one that lasts as long as 50 years to deter Russia from invading in the future.

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  This is all according to statements from Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky yesterday.

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  He met with U.S.

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  President Donald Trump on Sunday.

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  Now, what exactly does a security guarantee involve?

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  Well, according to Keev's proposal, it would mirror NATO's Article 5 commitment to mutual defense.

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  An attack on one country is considered an attack on all.

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  But there's a big difference between 15 and 50 years.

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  So for now, a peace deal is still out of reach,

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  which is not what the FT's Europe editor Ben Hall thought would happen in 2025.

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  At the end of last year, he predicted there would be an agreement.

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  Ben joins me now for the second installment of our series on predictions,

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  where we talk about whether our colleagues were right about 2025 and

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  if they can venture a guess about 2026.

• 01:16

  Hi, Ben.

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