Bettor living through Polymarket

经历波利市场的大赌徒

Today, Explained

2025-12-04

25 分钟
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单集简介 ...

Polymarket is making it easier than ever to bet billions on anything — including politics. But should we be able to? This episode was produced by Ariana Aspuru, edited by Jolie Myers, fact-checked by Miles Bryan and Kelli Wessinger, engineered by Patrick Boyd and David Tasciore, and hosted by Noel King. A Polymarket billboard displaying New York City mayoral election odds in Times Square. Photo by Adam Gray/Bloomberg via Getty Images. Listen to Today, Explained ad-free by becoming a Vox Member: vox.com/members. New Vox members get $20 off their membership right now. Transcript at ⁠vox.com/today-explained-podcast.⁠ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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单集文稿 ...

  • Polymarket is a platform that lets you place bets, and people are betting billions.

  • All it takes is a low cryptocurrency and a dream,

  • and you can gamble on when the US will invade Venezuela,

  • or the Jets game, or who's going to be the next Fed chair.

  • The odds change as bets are placed.

  • So will Russia and Ukraine declare a ceasefire in 2025?

  • Probably not.

  • Right now, only 6% of bettors say yes.

  • But if Putin and Zelensky grow up this month, those yes bets are going to win a lot of money.

  • Vladimir and Volodymyr have the potential to do the funniest thing.

  • I mean, they won't, but what if they did?

  • You want to bet on it?

  • We can.

  • In the last few months, President Trump relaxed restrictions on polymarket.

  • Google announced a partnership, and the New York Stock Exchange said it is investing.

  • Coming up on Today Explained, it's polymarket's world.

  • Running a business is hard enough.

  • So why make it harder with a dozen different apps that don't talk to each other?

  • Introducing Odu.

  • It's the only business software you'll ever need.