The Consumer Sentiment vs. Consumer Spending Puzzle

消费者情绪与消费支出之谜

Planet Money

2025-11-22

19 分钟
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Wherever consumer sentiment goes, consumer spending usually goes too. They’re like buddies that do everything together. Consumer sentiment wants a hair cut, its buddy consumer spending does too.But lately, these friends are drifting apart.While consumer sentiment about the economy is down … spending remains strong. And not just that… Interest rates are still high, inflation is growing, tariffs have made the prices of goods go up. And yet, consumer spending looks good. What gives?Today - a consumer spending mystery. Is the economy actually healthy? Or is something distorting our view of the economy?Pre-order the Planet Money book and get a free gift. /  Subscribe to Planet Money+Listen free: Apple Podcasts, Spotify, the NPR app or anywhere you get podcasts.Facebook / Instagram / TikTok / Our weekly Newsletter.This episode was hosted by Sarah Gonzalez and Kenny Malone. It was produced by James Sneed. It was edited by Meg Cramer and fact-checked by Sierra Juarez. It was engineered by Debbie Daughtry and Kwesi Lee. Alex Goldmark is Planet Money's executive producer. Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoices NPR Privacy Policy
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  • This is Planet Money from NPR.

  • Consumer sentiment is not doing great right now.

  • It is close to its lowest point in half a century.

  • Americans are, on average, not optimistic about the health of the economy.

  • They don't feel great about their jobs, their personal finances.

  • And when consumers don't feel hopeful about the economy, we usually do this one thing.

  • We save more.

  • and stop spending as much.

  • You can see it in the data when consumer sentiment is low, consumer spending slows down.

  • Consumer spending and consumer sentiment are like buddies that go everywhere together.

  • Yes, but Sarah, these buddies, something strange is happening to their friendship.

  • They're drifting apart.

  • Yeah, consumer sentiment is like sad in his sweats, on the couch, doing nothing.

  • Well, okay, yeah, but consumer spending is out there living it up.

  • spending untold amounts of money out all hours of the night at the club?

  • She sure is.

  • And when Deeron Patke, an economist at the Boston Fed, saw this rift?

  • I mean, it's mostly bafflement, right?

  • We see these two numbers, which are significant measures of barometers of economic activity,

  • moving in ways that look discordant with each other.