Overseas banks lift China’s 2025 GDP outlook—What’s behind the optimism?

海外银行上调中国2025年GDP展望——乐观背后的原因是什么?

World Today

2025-10-23

52 分钟
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单集简介 ...

① Overseas banks raise China’s 2025 GDP forecasts— What’s fueling the optimism? (00:49) ② A ceremony will be held to mark 80 years since Taiwan’s restoration—what lessons does this hold for cross-strait unity today? (13:18) ③ China overtakes U.S. as Germany’s top trading partner—what’s driving this shift in global trade? (23:53) ④ U.S. debt surpasses $38 trillion as government shutdown drags on—how deep is the fiscal strain? (42:37)
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单集文稿 ...

  • Overseas banks lift China's 2025 GDP outlook.

  • What's behind the optimism?

  • A commemoration marking 80 years since Taiwan's restoration will be held.

  • What lessons does it hold for cross-strait unity today?

  • And China overtook the United States as Germany's top trading partner,

  • was driving this shift in global trade.

  • Welcome to World Today, a news program with a different perspective.

  • I'm Ge'ana in Beijing.

  • To listen to this episode again or to catch up on previous episodes,

  • you can download our podcast by searching World Today.

  • Our top story,

  • several major banks forecast stronger economic growth for China this year,

  • despite external headwinds.

  • Investment bank Goldman Sachs has raised its full-year GDP growth forecast for 2025 from 4.8 to 4.9%,

  • noting that the government's target of around 5% remains largely on track.

  • Meanwhile,

  • British multinational banks Standard Chartered and Barclays have also their full-year growth projections for China in 2025.

  • The upward revisions come as the Communist Party of China's 20th Central Committee convened its first plenary session this week to chart the country's next five-year plan.

  • So for more on this, joining us on the line is Joseph Mahoney,

  • Professor of Politics and International Relations at East China Normal University.