No going back: climate tipping-points

无法回头:气候临界点

Babbage from The Economist

2025-08-28

36 分钟
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单集简介 ...

What if the Amazon rainforest shrank to the point where it could no longer sustain itself? Or the ocean currents around Europe collapsed, freezing the continent? What if all this happened in just a few decades? Climate change is often perceived to be a disaster in slow motion, but a growing number of scientists worry about climate “tipping points”—thresholds in the climate system that, once crossed, could lead to sudden, catastrophic, irreversible changes. How can scientists predict how close such dramatic changes might be and how much devastation they might cause? Host: Rachel Dobbs, The Economist's environment editor. Contributors: Jonathan Nash of Oregon State University; Jack Williams of the University of Wisconsin–Madison; James Veale and Liz Thomas of the British Antarctic Survey. Transcripts of our podcasts are available via economist.com/podcasts. Listen to what matters most, from global politics and business to science and technology—subscribe to Economist Podcasts+.
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单集文稿 ...

  • In the Economist Science section, we cover everything from dark matter to defence technology.

  • But there are few topics with the scale and importance of climate change.

  • This week, we have a story from Rachel Dobbs, the Economist's Environment Editor.

  • She's been looking at a new way in which some climate scientists have been trying to explain how rising temperatures could irreversibly change parts of the Earth's climate system much sooner than you might think.

  • Decades rather than centuries.

  • And those changes could be devastating.

  • Freezing continents, for example, or making countries uninhabitable or incapable of growing crops.

  • These drastic changes could tip the Earth from one state to another.

  • They should also reframe how we think about the environmental change that the world is facing.

  • I'm Alok Jha, and this is Babbage from The Economist.

  • Today, Rachel Dobbs on Earth's climate tipping points.

  • thinking and talking about things that will be really bad.

  • Someday.

  • That's not to say that there's not plenty that is bad now, some of which I've seen firsthand.

  • I've reported on women whose pregnancies have been damaged by heatwaves,

  • farmers whose cropland can no longer turn a profit,

  • and Muslim pilgrims who've died trying to carry out the Hajj.

  • But a lot of what I hear from researchers and politicians is about outcomes that will take place decades in the future.

  • Particularly if you live somewhere rich and relatively cool,

  • many of the changes that we've seen aren't that dramatic.