2025-08-18
31 分钟Since the invasion of Ukraine, Russia has been hit by multiple waves of sanctions.
Yet its economy has been relatively resilient.
GDP grew more than 4% last year, boosted by wartime spending.
Unemployment is historically low and competition for workers has driven real wage growth.
Now, recent data suggests the Russian economy's war bump is fading.
So are sanctions finally biting? Did they ever really work?
And what would happen to the country's economy if the war in Ukraine were to end?
This is The Economics Show. I'm Sam Fleming, the FT's economics editor.
To find out, I'm speaking to Elena Ribakova.
Elena is a non-resident senior fellow at the Peterson Institute of International Economics,
a non-resident fellow at the Brussels Think Tank Brogel,
and vice president for foreign policy at the Kiev School of Economics.
Elena, welcome to the show.
Thank you so much for having me.
Now, before I kick off, I should point out we're recording this on Thursday the 14th of August,
so before President Trump and Putin are due to meet in Alaska.
Elena, first off, we do this thing on the economic show where we get our guests to rate something from 1 to 10.
On that scale, what kind of shape is the Russian economy in at the moment?
Well, I would say the Russian economy is now around four.
Right, and we want to integrate all kinds of factors into it, the short-term economic developments,