Frozen conflict? A special episode in the Arctic

冰封的冲突?北极地区的一段特殊篇章

The Intelligence from The Economist

2025-08-14

23 分钟
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In Norway's north, a geopolitical quirk may yet transform into a geopolitical conflict. We visit Svalbard, an Arctic archipelago that contains a Russian company town complete with a bust of Lenin. Ahead of the high-stakes, high-north summit in Alaska, our correspondents lay out why—perhaps even more than the Baltic states—the Arctic might be the flashpoint for Russia's next bout of expansionism.
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  • The economist.

  • Hello and welcome to The Intelligence from The Economist.

  • I'm your host Jason Palmer. Every weekday,

  • we provide a fresh perspective on the events shaping your world.

  • And today, a special episode on the events that are quietly shaping the top of the world.

  • When Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin meet tomorrow in Alaska,

  • the principal talking point will of course be a ceasefire in Ukraine.

  • But our reporting suggests that more will be on the table,

  • like normalization of America's relations with Russia, or cooperation in the Arctic over, say, energy.

  • Diplomatically, that's a bigger deal than you might imagine.

  • One way or another, the war will end.

  • And as we've said before, the question in particular for European leaders

  • is where the next flash point for Russian aggression will be.

  • There's some chance the answer is off the European mainland, to the extreme north.

  • Roads in Longyearbyen, the most northerly settlement on the planet,

  • are usually only blocked by reindeer.

  • But today they are jammed with visiting dignitaries.

  • Adam Roberts is the economist's digital editor.

  • Norway's Prime Minister, Yonas, along with the Crown Prince and other officials,

  • are gathering for a ceremony marking a hundred years of Norwegian sovereignty in the Sbard archipelago.