Does Trump care about Taiwan?

特朗普是否关心台湾?

The Inquiry

2025-07-01

22 分钟
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Ahead of last year’s US Presidential elections, Donald Trump was asked if he would defend China against Taiwan, he responded that Taiwan should pay the US for protection from China. Taiwan is a self-governing island, claimed by Beijing and whilst Taiwan is not formally recognised by the US, they do remain the island’s most important security partner. Taiwan manufactures over ninety percent of the world’s most advanced semiconductor chips, which makes some American industries heavily dependent on trade links with the island. But official US policy towards Taiwan is one of ‘strategic ambiguity’. So when the US Secretary of Defence, Pete Hegseth recently warned of China posing an ‘imminent’ threat to Taiwan, whilst at the same time urging Asian countries to boost defence spending and work with the US to deter war, it raised the issue of how far America would be prepared to go to defend Taiwan. China in response accused the US of being the ‘biggest troublemaker’ for regional peace. The US has only just agreed a truce on trade tariffs with China and President Trump’s immediate attention has shifted onto issues in the Middle East, so if Pete Hegseth’s warning is valid, how far up the list is Taiwan in terms of Trump’s foreign policy priorities. This week on the Inquiry we’re asking ‘Does Trump care about Taiwan?’ Contributors: Dr Chun-yi Lee, Associate Professor, School of Politics and International Relations, Director of Taiwan Research Hub, University of Nottingham, UK Christopher S. Chivvis, Senior Fellow and Director, American Statecraft Program, The Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Washington DC, USA Patricia Kim, Scholar on China, The Brookings Institution, Washington DC, USA Raymond Kuo, Inaugural Director, Taiwan Policy Initiative, The Rand Corporation, California, USA Presenter: Tanya Beckett Producer: Jill Collins Researcher: Maeve Schaffer Editor: Tara McDermott Technical Producer: Nicky Edwards Production Co-ordinator: Tammy Snow Image Credit: Taiwanese flags wave at the park decorated by Chang Lao-wang, ahead of Taiwan National Day in Taoyuan, Taiwan, October 5, 2022. REUTERS/Ann Wang
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  • Welcome to The Inquiry. I'm Tanya Beckett.

  • One question, four expert witnesses and an answer.

  • It was a statement that seemed in line with America's wariness towards one of its most powerful trading partners and a reminder that President Trump is warning countries to stop relying on America for support for their security.

  • But when the US defence secretary Pete Hegseth said that China presented an imminent threat to its island neighbour Taiwan,

  • the next obvious question was how far America was prepared to go to defend it.

  • China's behaviour towards its neighbours and the world is a wake-up call.

  • We know, it's public,

  • that Xi has ordered his military to be capable of invading Taiwan by 2027.

  • Again, to be clear,

  • any attempt by Communist China to conquer Taiwan by force would result in devastating consequences for the Indo-Pacific and the world.

  • There's no reason to sugarcoat it.

  • The threat China poses is real and it could be imminent.

  • We hope not, but it certainly could be.

  • China has long claimed democratic Taiwan as part of its territory,

  • whilst Taiwan has asserted its independence.

  • The stance of America has been that it opposes any attempts by Beijing to force Taiwan under Chinese rule.

  • But in America's own words, it has a policy of strategic ambiguity.

  • So Pete Hegseth's statement seemed rather inflammatory,

  • especially at a time when America seems to have calmed its trade differences with China and has subsequently become embroiled in an exchange of hostilities in the Middle East.

  • This week on the inquiry we're asking does Trump care about Taiwan?