Truce and consequences: a fragile ceasefire in Iran

休战与后果:伊朗脆弱的停火协议

The Intelligence from The Economist

2025-06-24

24 分钟
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单集简介 ...

Iran's strikes both before and apparently after a ceasefire began seem to threaten peace. If it holds, what will that mean for Iran's ambitions, and for the wider region? A meeting of NATO-country leaders seems precision-engineered to appease the alliance's most fickle member. And why Germany is considering cancelling one of its many public holidays. Additional audio courtesy of Chatham House's “Independent Thinking” podcast.
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  • The Economist Hello and welcome to The Intelligence from The Economist.

  • I'm Jason Palmer.

  • And I'm Rosie Bloor.

  • Every weekday we provide a fresh perspective on the events shaping your world.

  • Leaders of the NATO countries are gathering today to finish off a plan to massively increase their defence spending.

  • Well, most of them.

  • We take a deeper look at the commitments and ask whether they will appease the Alliance's most fickle member.

  • And public holidays are a blissful invention.

  • Only problem is they're a drag on productivity and the economy.

  • So Germany's government is considering removing one of those precious days from the national calendar.

  • But first… On the show yesterday morning,

  • the big question in the aftermath of America's strikes on Iran was what response it would provoke.

  • By yesterday evening, we had an answer.

  • Iran fired 14 missiles at an American air base in Qatar,

  • one for each of the American bombs that fell on its nuclear facilities.

  • But it gave both the Qataris and the Americans advance notice, and it seems no one was injured.

  • A couple of hours later, Donald Trump declared a ceasefire had been negotiated.

  • This morning,

  • Israel's defense minister Israel Katz said that Iran had violated the deal in its opening hours by firing missiles into northern Israel.

  • He, in turn, ordered strikes on Tehran.