Shock horror: how high could the oil price go?

震惊恐惧:油价还能涨多高?

Editor's Picks from The Economist

新闻

2024-10-15

6 分钟
PDF

单集简介 ...

A handpicked article read aloud from the latest issue of The Economist. As the conflict between Israel and Hamas spreads, we consider the likelihood of a serious oil shock. While today's ample supply provides a shield against geopolitical risk, it is not an impenetrable one. Listen to what matters most, from global politics and business to science and technology—subscribe to Economist Podcasts+ For more information about how to access Economist Podcasts+, please visit our FAQs page or watch our video explaining how to link your account.
更多

单集文稿 ...

  • The Economist. Hello, Alice Fullwood here, co-host of Money Talks,

  • our weekly podcast on markets, the economy and business.

  • Welcome to Editors' Picks.

  • You're about to hear an article from the latest edition of The Economist.

  • Thanks for listening.

  • are nervously eyeing the oil price.

  • The conflict between Israel and Hamas that began a year ago is spreading.

  • If all-out war erupts between Israel and Iran, the threat to the Middle East,

  • a region that produces a third of the world's crude, is as obvious as it is scary.

  • Few commodities affect the global economy as much as oil does.

  • And as American presidential candidates are keenly aware,

  • few are as likely to sway an election.

  • The past two years of inflation have shown just how much voters hate sticker shock.

  • The price of oil rose by 10% in a week as Israel attacked Hezbollah,

  • a Lebanese militia backed by Iran,

  • and Iran retaliated with around 200 missiles fired directly at Israel.

  • On October 7th, it reached $81 a barrel before falling.

  • Two and a half years ago,

  • Russia's invasion of Ukraine sent oil prices surging beyond $120,

  • as the West imposed sanctions on Russia and fears intensified of disruptions to the supply from the world's second biggest exporter.