2024-10-28
4 分钟The Economist Hi, this is John Pridot,
host of Checks and Balance, our US politics podcast.
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With less than two weeks to go, America's election remains a coin toss.
If anything, though, the coin now slightly favors Donald Trump.
Our election forecast model puts him ahead for the first time since August.
When the race is this tight, the list of things that could prove decisive is long.
Among them is Elon Musk's disingenuous scheme to induce Americans to vote for Mr Trump with a chance to win $1 million.
Mr. Musk could have any number of motives.
He runs a company that makes electric vehicles or EVs.
Mr. Trump wants to put huge tariffs on foreign cars and frequently discourages Detroit's carmakers from producing EVs.
A Trump victory could knock out Tesla's competition juicing its share price.
Mr. Musk also has eugenic views about gifted people having too few children.
and he has used his ownership of X to promote perfectly legally objectionable opinions about the replacement of white voters with immigrants.
The scheme works as follows.
Voters in the seven swing states are invited to sign a petition in support of the First Amendment,
free speech, and the Second Amendment,
guns, no matter that neither clause is in imminent danger from Congress,