Buying happiness: how to invest if you want to be cheerful

购买快乐:若想心情愉悦,如何投资

Money Talks from The Economist

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2025-01-03

46 分钟
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More than half a century ago, the Nobel-prizewinning economist Robert Merton came up with a formula for happiness. The Merton share is a rule of thumb for determining an individual's ideal portfolio split between “risky” but lucrative assets and “safe” ones. His principles are almost universally accepted by academics as the “correct” approach to long-term investment. So why don't more people follow his advice? Hosts: Ethan Wu and Mike Bird. Guests: The Economist's Josh Roberts; Victor Haghani, founder of Elm Wealth; and John Cochrane, senior fellow at the Hoover Institution at Stanford University. Transcripts of our podcasts are available via economist.com/podcasts. Listen to what matters most, from global politics and business to science and technology—subscribe to Economist Podcasts+.
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  • You should be excited.

  • This is your chance to get hypothetically very rich indeed.

  • Josh Roberts is our capital markets correspondent.

  • He's been looking at a way of investing that's meant to optimize our happiness.

  • And he has three games of dice to explain it.

  • So, Ethan, Mike, have you got your dice in front of you?

  • Yes.

  • I got mine from Dan Asher, our producer.

  • It's an abnormally large dice.

  • I have it to hand now.

  • I always keep my pair of trusty pocket dice not too far away on my person.

  • Well, brilliant.

  • So I'm going to get you to play some bets or more accurately ask you how you feel about some bets.

  • So the first game we're going to play, you've got a six-sided dice in front of you.

  • And the game is that you roll the dice and you're going to win your score in dollars.

  • So for anyone who paid attention in probability class.

  • how much would you be willing to pay to play that game?

  • How much do we win, sorry?

  • You win a dollar for every dot on the dice.

  • So $6 for six dots.