Triple threat: the European economy has a Trump problem

三重威胁:欧洲经济面临特朗普难题

Money Talks from The Economist

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2025-02-28

45 分钟
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Europe's economy is in trouble. Growth has been moribund for a decade and a half. Worries about the continent's shaky fiscal foundations and its heavy regulatory burden are only growing. Now, governments across the continent have a third economic threat to worry about: Donald Trump. The US president has threatened tariffs on European exports and told Nato allies they should spend 5% of GDP on defence—an unaffordable expense for most of the region. So how much trouble is Europe in? Hosts: Mike Bird and Ethan Wu. Guests: The Economist's Christian Odendahl and Stanley Pignal; and Luis Garicano, an economist and former member of the European Parliament. Transcripts of our podcasts are available via economist.com/podcasts. Listen to what matters most, from global politics and business to science and technology—subscribe to Economist Podcasts+.
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  • Europe's economy is in trouble.

  • Since the global financial crisis and the sovereign debt crisis that followed,

  • European growth has been lackluster.

  • Now, the countries of the European Union are facing another problem,

  • Donald Trump's threat to impose tariffs.

  • It will definitely happen with the European Union, I can tell you that.

  • because they've really taken advantage of us.

  • They don't take our cars, they don't take our farm products, they take almost nothing.

  • And we take everything from them, millions of cars, tremendous amounts of food.

  • But it's not just tariffs worrying those in finance ministries across Europe.

  • Trump has demanded NATO allies spend 5% of GDP on defence,

  • which is unaffordable for most of Europe.

  • To fund anything like that, Countries either need to borrow heavily or grow.

  • For that challenge, the EU has something of a plan.

  • We are all anxious about the future of Europe.

  • That's Mario Draghi, the continent's unofficial chief technocrat,

  • presenting his 400-page report entitled The Future of European Competitiveness in a glossy video released by the European Parliament.

  • The innovation gap is at the root of Europe's low in productivity growth relative to the US.

  • So we must bring innovation back to Europe.

  • So how much trouble is Europe in?