Swamp Notes: The Federal Reserve’s tariff dilemma

沼泽笔记:美联储的关税困境

FT News Briefing

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2025-04-12

17 分钟
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US President Donald Trump’s global trade war has made a mess for the Federal Reserve. Despite an encouraging US consumer price index report this week, there are major concerns about the inflationary nature of Trump’s tariffs. Meanwhile, the Fed has cut growth forecasts. And if all that wasn’t enough, Trump is breathing down chair Jay Powell’s neck to cut interest rates. The FT’s US economics editor Claire Jones and economics commentator Chris Giles explain why the central bank is caught in a difficult position. Mentioned in this podcast: Jay Powell’s tariff dilemma: defend the economy or contain inflation Alphaville: An emergency rate cut from the Fed? US inflation falls more than expected to 2.4% in March Federal Reserve ‘absolutely’ ready to help stabilise market if needed, top official says Sign up for the FT’s newsletter Chris Giles on Central Banks Sign up for the FT’s Swamp Notes newsletter here Swamp Notes is produced by Katya Kumkova. Topher Forhecz is the FT’s executive producer. The FT’s global head of audio is Cheryl Brumley. Special thanks to Pierre Nicholson. Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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  • It's a weird time to be Fed Chair, Jay Powell.

  • Markets are roiling, inflation may or may not be cooling,

  • and you have a very angry president truth-socialing at you about rate cuts.

  • What's a Fed Chair to do?

  • This is Swamp Notes, the weekly podcast from the FT News Briefing,

  • where we talk about all the things happening in U.S. politics.

  • I'm Mark Filipino, and this week we're asking, what does a week in the trade wars tell us about Powell's next move?

  • Here with me to discuss is the FT's incoming U.S. economics editor, Claire Jones.

  • Hey, Claire, welcome to the U.S. Thank you, Mark.

  • Great to be here.

  • And we've also got our economics commentator, Chris Giles, who writes our central bank newsletter.

  • Hey, Chris.

  • Hey, Mark.

  • Good to be here, too.

  • So I don't want to presume anything,

  • but I'm assuming that you guys aren't psyched to take up the role of Fed Chair anytime soon, given the tumult.

  • No, indeed not.

  • I mean, you've got to feel for Powell.

  • It was all going so well for him last year.

  • We were seeing a perfect soft landing.