Will Trump’s tariffs tip the world into recession?

特朗普的关税是否会将世界推向衰退?

Today in Focus

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2025-04-09

24 分钟
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As countries reel from the Trump tariffs, can a global recession still be avoided? Richard Partington reports. Help support our independent journalism at theguardian.com/infocus
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  • This is The Guardian.

  • Today, the Trump tariffs have thrown the markets into turmoil.

  • How bad could it get?

  • Just stuffed a midnight last night, U.S. time, a tariff wall,

  • unlike anything we've seen for decades, was thrown up around the U.S.

  • That means if you're listening to this on Wednesday, you're living in the first hours of a new global economy.

  • And the lead-up to it has been a wild ride.

  • Today, checking in on what the Trump tariffs are doing to the global economy, why we aren't, in the worst case scenario,

  • a global recession just yet, and why Richard Partington, the Guardian's senior economics correspondent,

  • says there are some reasons to hope we may never get there.

  • From The Guardian, I'm Michael Safi, today in Focus, making sense of the Trump tariffs one week on.

  • Richard, we last spoke to you on Thursday afternoon in London,

  • just as Wall Street was opening for the first time since the Trump tariffs were announced the previous day.

  • These were universal tariffs across the board on all of America's trading partners,

  • plus some hefty extra tariffs on countries like China and blocks like the EU.

  • Markets around the world have had nearly a week to digest the shock of this.

  • Take me through the fallout.

  • The very worst of it was at the end of last week and the beginning of this week,

  • where we saw amongst the steepest falls in global financial markets

  • since the spread of the COVID pandemic five years ago.