2025-04-08
9 分钟What up nerds, I'm Jared and this is Changelog News for the week of Monday, April 7th, 2025.
Now that Severance Season 2 is all wrapped up,
I need something else to watch of similar caliber and intrigue.
Otherwise, I'll fall back into my New Girl and American Pickers reruns habit.
Hit me with your recommends.
Okay, let's get into this week's news.
The AI Futures Project is a new non-profit organization led by Daniel Kokotajlo,
a former researcher in OpenAI's governance division with a goal of forecasting the future of AI.
In their first publication, AI 2027,
the group predicts that the impact of superhuman AI over the next decade will be enormous,
exceeding that of the industrial revolution.
They lay this potential future out in a scenario that,
quote, represents our best guess about what that might look like.
It's informed by trend extrapolations, war games, expert feedback.
experience at OpenAI, and previous forecasting successes, end quote.
What's cool about this work, unlike so many that you can find online, is its incredible detail.
The story goes quarter by quarter through the next 2.5 years,
weaving one potential narrative of how things might proceed.
There are two endings though, a slowdown and a race ending.
The overall goal is not prescriptive, it's predictive accuracy.