Inflation Is Cooling. Why Are Americans Still Sweating?

数据明明很好,为什么我们更穷了?

Big Take

2026-07-17

25 分钟
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单集简介 ...

A slate of new data this week painted a tepid but slightly optimistic picture of the US economy: Consumer prices declined in June for the first time in six years, jobless claims ticked down and retail sales rose modestly. So why doesn’t the data match up with how Americans are feeling? On today’s Big Take podcast, host Sarah Holder talks to Bloomberg’s Reade Pickert and labor economist Kathryn Anne Edwards about what the data does (and doesn’t) tell us about the state of the US economy. Read more: How’s Inflation? Depends How It’s Measured We have a special Bloomberg subscription offer for podcast listeners at Bloomberg.com/podcastoffer. Hosted by Sarah Holder; Produced by Julia Press; Reported by Reade Pickert; Edited by Aaron Edwards. Fact-checking by Victor Swezey, Rachael Lewis-Krisky; Engineering by Sean Carter. Senior Producer: Naomi Shavin; Deputy Executive Producer: Julia Weaver. Executive Producer: Nicole Beemsterboer. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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  • Bloomberg Audio Studios. Podcasts, Radio, News.

  • This week, we got a lot of new indicators about the state of the US economy.

  • The headline: it’s doing pretty well.

  • Stocks rose on Wall Street after a report showed

  • that inflation wasn’t as bad as expected last month.

  • Consumer prices fell 0.4% last month from May, the biggest...

  • So this week has been a mix of data that’s been surprising

  • and some that hasn’t been so surprising.

  • That’s Reed Picker, who leads the US economy team at Bloomberg.

  • Analysts who anticipated a slight rise in first-time claims for jobless benefits.

  • Instead, the number has fallen.

  • Inflation is cooling, consumers are spending,

  • the job market is showing signs of stability.

  • But still, the vibes are off.

  • Consumer sentiment reached a record low in May

  • and looked only a little bit better by June.

  • And a Pew survey ahead of the country’s 250th anniversary in July found

  • that over 50% of Americans expected the economy to get weaker in the coming decade.

  • There is something particularly unsatisfactory about the economy right now.

  • Even though unemployment’s not that high,