What the US-Japan Currency Intervention Means for the Yen, Rates, and the Dollar

美国-日本货币干预对日元、利率和美元的影响

Goldman Sachs Exchanges

2026-08-13

27 分钟
PDF

单集简介 ...

The US and Japan coordinated on the biggest currency market intervention in 15 years, helping to stabilize a weakening yen. Karen Fishman, senior FX strategist in Goldman Sachs Research, and Praneet Shah, global head of FX options trading in Global Banking & Markets, discuss why the US joined the action, why the yen still appears undervalued, and whether another intervention might follow. Key takeaways:  The scale of Japan’s intervention was historic, but the US role was symbolic.  Japan's operation, estimated to be worth up to $85 billion over July 30 and July 31, was its largest two-day intervention on record outside of October 2011. The US leg was much smaller, but pushed the yen further by signaling the US’ willingness to help.  Washington's involvement was likely aimed at limiting volatility in US markets. The timing of US support coincided with some volatility in US interest rates, in addition to other factors.  Intervention may buy time, but it is a short-term measure. In the longer term, policy measures convincing Japanese investors to shift back towards Japanese assets could help reverse the yen's low valuation.  This episode was recorded on August 10, 2026. The opinions and views expressed herein are as of the date of publication, subject to change without notice, and may not necessarily reflect the institutional views of Goldman Sachs or its affiliates. The material provided is intended for informational purposes only, and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation from any Goldman Sachs entity to take any particular action, or an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any securities or financial products. This material may contain forward-looking statements. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Goldman Sachs nor any of its affiliates make any representations or warranties, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the statements or information contained herein and disclaim any liability whatsoever for reliance on such information for any purpose. Each name of a third-party organization mentioned is the property of the company to which it relates, is used here strictly for informational and identification purposes only and is not used to imply any ownership or license rights between any such company and Goldman Sachs. A transcript is provided for convenience and may differ from the original video or audio content. Goldman Sachs is not responsible for any errors in the transcript. This material should not be copied, distributed, published, or reproduced in whole or in part or disclosed by any recipient to any other person without the express written consent of Goldman Sachs. Disclosures applicable to research with respect to issuers, if any, mentioned herein are available through your Goldman Sachs representative or at ⁠http://www.gs.com/research/hedge.html⁠ Goldman Sachs does not endorse any candidate or any political party. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
更多

单集文稿 ...

  • The United States and Japan have coordinated the largest

  • currency market intervention in 15 years to help stabilize the yen.

  • After more than five years of yen weakness, it's left investors asking the question, why now?

  • I'm Alison Nathan, and this is Goldman Sachs Exchanges.

  • To understand the why and the knock-on effects for currency markets,

  • I'm sitting down with my colleague in Goldman Sachs Research, Karen Fishman, and Praneet Shah,

  • who leads foreign exchange options trading within our global banking and markets business.

  • Praneet is joining me from London, and Karen is here with me in the studio.

  • Karen, Praneet, welcome to the program.

  • Thanks for having me.

  • Thanks, Alison.

  • Karen, let's first level set for the generalist.

  • Talk us through what happened and why this is a big deal.

  • So on July 30th, Japan conducted or began its biggest intervention in the FX market in 15 years.

  • So they sold U.S.

  • Dollars to buy Japanese yen in an effort to halt the weakening that we've seen over much of the past year,

  • but especially over the past few months when the yen hit 40-year lows versus the U.S.

  • Dollar.

  • And this was a big deal for both its size and its scope.

  • So in terms of the size, we won't have the official numbers for another month,