The Iran war changed everything—and nothing. What now?

美伊战争的吊诡结局

Insider

2026-06-19

45 分钟
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This is the dawn of a bright new era for the Middle East. So says President Donald Trump. His deal is meant to end America’s war with Iran and usher in a region transformed where “a lot of great things” will happen and “peace and security” will prevail. At first glance, the regional landscape the war leaves behind looks much as it did before. Look closer and most of the changes it has brought have been for the worse. Iran has emerged emboldened; Israel and America are at odds; and the Gulf states are scrambling to rebuild their economic, diplomatic and security models for a harsh new regional reality.  Join Zanny Minton Beddoes, editor-in-chief, Edward Carr, deputy editor, and a trio of The Economist’s Middle East experts as they assess how profoundly the conflict has reshaped the region and what its fragile future might hold.
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  • Iran and America have reached a deal.

  • Signed by President Trump at the Palace of Versailles last night.

  • For America, this is both a big climb down and a big gamble.

  • With few commitments from Iran upfront

  • and a bet that within enough financial incentives it can be lured in a new direction.

  • Will that payoff?

  • I'm Zanny Minton Beddoes, The Economist editor-in-chief.

  • Welcome back to The Insider.

  • With me to discuss all of this after what, three weeks of writing an essay,

  • is Ed Carr, my deputy.

  • Very nice to see you again, Ed.

  • It's nice to be back.

  • And also joining us in the studio is Nick Pelham, our Iran expert.

  • Very good to see you, Nick.

  • And good to be back.

  • And down the line, our two regional experts, stalwarts of covering this conflict with us,

  • Anshel Pfeffer from Jerusalem and Gregg Carlstrom in,

  • I think you're in Dubai right now, right, Gregg?

  • Very nice to see both of you too.

  • So peace deals signed in Versailles don't have a particularly august history.