2026-04-15
26 分钟Global recession warning from the IMF.
Low-income energy importers are highly exposed.
We are in a situation where this is going to be extremely tough.
Some pretty sort of dour noise and forecasts really coming from those inside the building behind me.
It's World Business Report from the BBC World Service.
This is Andrew Peach.
On the way, we 'll look at rising oil, gas and food prices
and how they could force central banks to increase interest rates.
Also today, how Amazon is taking on SpaceX to deliver satellite connectivity to smartphones.
And if you've ever been confused by tipping in the United States, we'll get the rules from a barman in Milwaukee.
First, the global economy could be pushed towards recession if the conflict in the Middle East
continues to drive up energy prices.
That's the warning from the International Monetary Fund.
At its latest World Economic Outlook report, the IMF is saying in the worst case scenario with oil,
gas and food staying elevated, global growth could slip by 2% next year.
Its chief economist, Pierre-Olivier Gorincha, spoke at a news conference.
Our severe scenario assumes that energy supply disruptions.
Extend into next year with greater macro instability.
Global growth falls to 2% this year and next, while inflation exceeds 6%.
Now, the impact of the war will be uneven.