The 1948 Economic Moment That Might Explain Our Own

1948年的经济时刻可能解释我们自己的情况

The Daily

2024-02-05

25 分钟
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President Biden has struggled to sell Americans on the positive signs in the economy under his watch, despite figures that look good on paper. That could have important ramifications for his re-election hopes. Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst for The Times, explains why, to understand the situation, it may help to look back at another election, 76 years ago. Guest: Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst for The New York Times.
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  • From the New York Times, I'm Michael barbaro.

  • This is the daily on Friday's show, we explored President Biden's political challenge with a core group of supporters, black voters today, his challenge with voters motivated by the economy at a time when it looks good on paper but still feels bad for so many Americans.

  • My colleague Nate Cohen says that to understand the situation, it helps to look back at another election 76 years ago.

  • Its Monday, February 5.

  • Nate, we just got the latest batch of economic news on Friday, which showed a surge in hiring a very strong us labor market.

  • And it really highlighted this conundrum we've talked about a lot on the show, which is that we're living in a pretty healthy economy and yet voters are still quite sour on the economy.

  • And now that we've entered this general election phase of the presidential campaign, that dynamic looms as a pretty major question mark over the entire race because it doesn't feel like we have a precedent for it.

  • Does this sentiment help Trump?

  • Does it help Biden?

  • But you say, Nate, we actually do have a precedent for this, this weird economy in an election year.

  • It has happened before.

  • So just explain.

  • Yes, it has.

  • But I've been searching for a long time to find a economic and political moment that resembles the economy we have today.

  • And that's been really hard because, you know, in the era of modern consumer confidence data, there just isn't an economy like this one.