2024-08-21
59 分钟Conversations with Tyler is produced by the Mercatus center at George Mason University, bridging the gap between academic ideas and real world problems.
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hello, everyone, and welcome back to conversations with Tyler.
Today I'm in New York City chatting with the great Nate silver.
It is late July 2024, and Nate has recently risen in status.
You might say.
He has a new book out, which I thought was excellent, informative, fun on every page.
On the edge, the art of risking everything.
Nate, welcome.
Thank you, Tyler.
Now, if we simulated the world a thousand times in how many of those scenarios would you end up more or less where you are today?
This is, of course, a question I asked Peter Thiel and other people in the book.
Your father was a political scientist, presumably very smart, got you connected to politics.
Well, I mean, this is a hard.
I mean, I feel unfair that you're asking me this question that I.
This unfair question I ask other people.
But no, I think, like, I think I would wind up somewhere in this vicinity, like, 20% of the time, or maybe less than that.
I don't know.
I mean, because the fact that you had this big breakthrough, or I did.
In the kind of 2008 election, which really did involve a lot of happenstance in certain ways, I had been an online poker player, and basically the us government shut down online poker.